Forecasting Distribution CLPU Behaviour

D. Asber, S. Lefebvre, M. Saad, and C. Desbiens (Canada)


Load Restoration, Prediction, Distribution, Failure, Cold load Pickup.


This paper deals with load restoration behavior in distribution systems. Field studies were performed to determine the load restoration process after a disturbance. A forecasting algorithm for distribution systems experiencing restoration is proposed. The algorithm considers the outage occurrence time and its duration as well as the projected load changes that normally occur during the restoration process. Anticipated load changes are based on a set of past load history comprising of weather information and load consumption.

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