Combining Robust Analysis and Technology Forecasting: A Missing Combination in Contemporary Methods

G. Calås, S. Mankefors-Christiernin, and A. Boklund (Sweden)


Software Evolution, robustness analysis, technologyforecasting, RATF


Seven software engineering methods and one general purpose system engineering method TRIZ was evaluated concerning their abilities to combine software technology forecasting, that is prediction of potential software evolution with robustness analysis, which is a method to model a system tolerant to changes. None of the investigated software engineering method or process concepts combines software technology forecasting with robustness analysis to any great extent. Several of the methods evaluated do contribute with techniques and principles, that potentially could be combined and give systematically technology forecasting with comprehensively robustness analysis though. This defines a new frontier for research into a combined “super class” method for software development.

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