Short-Term Energy Load Forecasting using Recurrent Neural Network

T. Rashid, T. Kechadi, and B.Q. Huang (Ireland)

Keywords

Shortterm load forecasting, Artificial neural networks, Recurrent recurrent networks.

Abstract

This paper presents a study of an artificial recurrent neural network applied to the problem of the prediction of short term energy load. The idea is to predict a daily maximum load (DML) for a given month based on the previous years as the daily average temperature (DAT) is unknown. Two models were carried out to predict the DML. In the first model, the prediction is based on both weekday and week end DML. The second model is based on the maximum load profile. A new recurrent network trained with back propagation is used for each model. The results for both models are compared and discussed.

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